Patterns of Potential Human Progress

The report from the Pardee Centre for International Futures, entitled Improving Global Health: Forecasting the Next 50 Years, is very interesting.  I am most grateful for the diverse and wide network of friends and colleagues that make such a meaningful contribution to my own work. This Executive Summary focuses on health, and I was particularly interested in their use of distal and proximal drivers. It makes me think that are we concentrating on the 'right' drivers in our research work, in policy development? Some very interesting results, one is that integrated analysis of forward linkages from health strongly suggests a positive contribution of health to economic growth, even with the aging of populations from lower mortality rates.

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